CEE 366A: WINTER 2023
Addressing deep uncertainty in systems models for sustainability
Policymakers rely on quantitative systems models to inform decision-making about environmental policy design, infrastructure development, and resource allocation. However, many rapid, transformational changes in the climate and socioeconomic systems are difficult to predict and quantify in models. Therefore, reliance on traditional model-based decision analysis can leave policymakers vulnerable to unforeseen risks. In this class, students will learn quantitative methods for addressing “deep” uncertainties using systems modeling, enabling them to identify potential vulnerabilities and design decision policies that are robust and resilient to a wide range of uncertain futures.