Publication Highlight: Quantifying the Value of Learning for Flexible Water Infrastructure Planning
In a recently published Water Resources Research article, Quantifying the Value of Learning for Flexible Water Infrastructure Planning, authors Jenny Skerker, Dr. Marta Zaniolo, Keani Willebrand, Dr. Megan Lickley, and Dr. Sarah Fletcher present a framework to analyze how the rate in which we are able to learn about climate change influences the value of flexibility in water supply infrastructure projects. They apply an exploratory Bayesian modeling approach to generate alternative planning scenarios which represent high and low learning potential to reduce future climate change uncertainty. They apply their framework to a case study near Mombasa, Kenya, where there exists substantial planning uncertainty regarding the direction of long term change in regional precipitation. Their framework provides new insights about the climate conditions and learning scenarios that result in flexibility being more valuable compared to traditional infrastructure development approaches within the context of water supply planning projects.
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